- Millions of Texans are without heat and power Wednesday as Arctic weather pummels the state.
- The cold weather caused energy sources including natural gas plants to go offline, just as demand for electricity went up.
- Climate change could make events like these more frequent, experts say.
- Visit the Business section of Insider for more stories.
Millions of Texans are without heat and power as Arctic weather continues to barrel through the state.
The blackout, which affected 2.8 million people across Texas as of Wednesday morning, is among the largest in US history.
“We know millions of people are suffering,” said Bill Magness, the president of Texas’ electric-grid manager ERCOT, in a statement Wednesday morning. “We have no other priority than getting them electricity.”
While some power was restored Tuesday night, outages are expected to continue through the week. At least 30 people across eight states have died from the winter weather sweeping the country.
Misinformation spread online Tuesday, with some conservative groups and lawmakers falsely blaming the blackouts on frozen wind turbines that quit generating power. In reality, thermal energy sources that went offline, such as coal and natural gas plants, contributed more to the problem.
But the drop in energy supply is just part of the reason why so many people in Texas lost power this week. Here’s what you need to know.
Bronte Wittpenn/Austin American-Statesman/USA Today Network via Reuters
The simple reason why millions lost power: A gap between supply and demand
A major winter storm that hit Texas over the long weekend caused two important things to happen: Sources of electricity, like natural gas plants, went offline, while at the same time demand for the energy they produce went up, as people across the state turned on heaters to stay warm.
That caused a massive shortfall in energy.
The organization that manages most of Texas’ grid, known as ERCOT, responded by cutting power to millions of homes, in rotating chunks (to limit the time any one household was dark). These so-called rolling blackouts are similar to what happened in California last year, which was also due to extreme weather.
On Wednesday morning, 46 gigawatts of electricity were offline in ERCOT’s territory and 2.8 million customers were without power, ERCOT said. This is one of the largest shortfalls in energy supply in modern US history, Patrick Milligan, a manager and power expert at the consulting firm ICF, told Insider.
Most of the supply that went offline was coal and natural gas, not wind
About 61% of the energy sources offline in Texas on Wednesday were thermal – that is, power plants that run on coal, natural gas, or nuclear energy. The rest was from solar and wind farms, ERCOT said.
Cold weather is the obvious culprit: All different kinds of power plants in Texas have trouble operating in Arctic weather as their instruments freeze, not just wind turbines. In fact, earlier this week, wind farms were overperforming compared to forecasts, said Rebecca Miller, a research manager at Wood Mackenzie who tracks output across the state.
It can be more difficult to pump natural gas out of the ground or transport it to power plants in freezing conditions. What’s more, utilities have prioritized sending natural gas to homes for heating, instead of to power plants, Miller said.
There are other, less obvious drivers behind the Texas blackouts
The US is made up of three major electric grids, and one of them overlaps, almost entirely, with the state of Texas alone. In other words, Texas essentially has its own grid.
That can exacerbate a situation like this, by making it harder for Texas to draw power from other regions that aren’t under the same weather-related stress, said Emily Grubert, an assistant professor of environmental engineering at Georgia Tech, who studies large infrastructure.
“The entire grid of Texas is subjected to this emergency condition at once,” Grubert said. “That’s a lot of pressure to be putting on a grid that doesn’t have access to other areas that aren’t under those conditions.”
But there were other issues at play, as well, such as a lack of preparedness – both on the side of supply and demand.
Homeowners weren’t told to do much to conserve energy, Miller said. Meanwhile, power plants weren’t properly weatherized.
Take the examples of wind turbines. While obvious, it bears mention that wind turbines have no problem operating in much colder states than Texas. Minnesota and Iowa, for example, have large wind farms yet don’t suffer from blackouts when temperatures plunge to single digits.
“Wind can operate perfectly in cold weather,” Milligan said.
Like natural-gas and coal-fired power plants, wind turbines can be weatherized to withstand tough winter conditions. But weatherization costs money turbines in Texas generally aren’t equipped for cold weather.
“Why would you have a snowplow in Austin? That kind of same thinking applies to the power plants,” Grubert said.
It didn’t have to get this bad
This isn’t the first time that Texas has been hit by an Arctic burst. In 2011, around the time of the Superbowl, cold weather swept through the state, causing a familiar result: 3 million people were plunged into darkness.
That’s left many wondering: Why didn’t energy producers and regulators do more to prepare for this cold spell?
They did do something: That summer, a federal report recommended things like weatherization to prevent supply from going offline in the future, the Houston Chronicle reports.
But a lot of that advice wasn’t followed, Milligan said, partly because it wasn’t enforceable and there was no mechanism put in place to pay for it. Weatherization is expensive, he said.
Plus, Texas’ energy market is deregulated, and suppliers there try to produce energy as cheaply as possible, Milligan added.
“The generators are not really incentivized to undertake these kinds of [weatherization] investments,” Milligan said.
It would have been hard to have completely prevented these blackouts, experts told Insider; this kind of weather really is unusual for Texas. But the impacts would not have been so devastating if companies had done more to prepare, they said.
David J. Phillip/AP
More blackouts are coming if we don’t do more to prepare
The irony of blaming wind turbines for the power outages in Texas is that extreme weather events are known to be made worse by climate change – which is, in turn, fueled by burning coal and natural gas. In theory, wind and solar farms offset emissions spewed into the atmosphere, lessening the impact of climate change.
“Can you expect more extremes? Yes,” Grubert said. “In terms of what that means for the grid, that’s a question that we as a society will have to grapple with.”
It’s not only important to prevent outages outright but to ensure that we have ways to keep people safe when the grid goes down, she said.
“Even if the energy system had stayed up, there would have been a lot of people in trouble during this event,” she said, such as those who may not have access to heat.
The importance of managing demand, such as through measures that make buildings more energy-efficient, also can’t be understated, she said.
Ron Jenkins/Getty Images
When power will be restored, and what happens next
The outages are likely to continue through the week as a second winter storm brings freezing rain and sleet to the state.
“We are anticipating another cold front this evening which could increase the demand,” Dan Woodfin, ERCOT senior director of system operations, said in a statement Wednesday morning. “The ability to restore more power is contingent on more generation coming back online.”
Texas Governor Greg Abbott has called the blackout event “unacceptable” and said he will add the reform of ERCOT as an emergency item for the 2021 legislative session.
“The Electric Reliability Council of Texas has been anything but reliable over the past 48 hours,” Abbott said.
The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission has also launched a task force to investigate the outages in Texas and across the US.