Warren Buffett compared aggressive borrowing and reckless trading to playing Russian roulette – and urged people not to risk everything for money they don’t need

warren buffett
Warren Buffett.

  • Warren Buffett compared reckless borrowing and trading to playing Russian roulette.
  • The Berkshire Hathaway CEO said he would never gamble his company for a shot at more money.
  • People shouldn’t risk their wealth and reputation for cash they don’t need, Buffett said.
  • See more stories on Insider’s business page.

Warren Buffett famously says the first rule of investing is “don’t lose money.” The billionaire investor and Berkshire Hathaway CEO has embraced that principle throughout his career, even comparing aggressive borrowing and reckless trading to gambling with one’s life.

“It is madness to risk losing what you need in pursuing what you simply desire,” Buffett said in his 2014 letter to shareholders. “We will never play financial Russian roulette with the funds you’ve entrusted to us, even if the metaphorical gun has 100 chambers and only one bullet.”

Buffett takes a conservative approach to Berkshire’s finances so that he’s always ready when disaster strikes, he continued. Minimizing borrowing means leaving money on the table, but it also prevents his company from getting into trouble in periods when “credit vanishes and debt becomes financially fatal,” he said.

“A Russian-roulette equation – usually win, occasionally die – may make financial sense for someone who gets a piece of a company’s upside but does not share in its downside,” he said in his 2018 letter. “But that strategy would be madness for Berkshire.”

Buffett deployed the same analogy during Berkshire’s annual shareholder meeting in 1999. He was discussing Long-Term Capital Management, a top hedge fund that had just collapsed under a mountain of debt and derivatives.

“It’s like playing Russian roulette,” Buffett said about individuals risking their wealth and reputation for a chance at making money they don’t need. “If you hand me a revolver with six chambers and one bullet, and you say, ‘Pull it once for a million dollars,’ and I say, ‘No.’ And then you say, ‘What is your price?’ The answer is there is no price.”

Buffett asserted that people, especially the rich, shouldn’t risk failure and embarrassment for any sum. They shouldn’t bet the farm even with a 99% chance of success, he continued, noting that the percentage probability of surviving a round of Russian roulette with a six-chamber revolver and a single bullet is a solid 83.3%.

“Neither 83.3% or 99% is good enough when there is no gain to offset the risk of loss,” he said.

Buffett underlined his views during a CNBC interview in 2018. People only make leveraged wagers because they’re in a hurry to get rich, and they risk going broke and devastating their families, he said.

The investor also shared his reaction when someone tells him they staged a comeback and became wealthy again: “I’m not impressed, because why the hell did they lose their first fortune?”

Read more: ‘Richer, Wiser, Happier’ author William Green breaks down the 3 key traits that have fueled Warren Buffett’s success, and explains why they’re so important for investors

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‘The Big Short’ investor Michael Burry dismisses shiba inu coin as ‘pointless’ – noting the dogecoin spinoff’s supply exceeds 1 quadrillion coins

Michael Burry
Michael Burry.

  • Michael Burry tweeted about shiba inu, the dogecoin-inspired cryptocurrency.
  • “The Big Short” investor dismissed the meme token, noting its supply exceeds 1 quadrillion coins.
  • Burry has warned against buying crypto, labeling bitcoin a speculative, debt-fueled bubble.

Michael Burry, the investor of “The Big Short” fame, isn’t a fan of shiba inu. He dismissed the dogecoin-inspired cryptocurrency, which has more than tripled in price over the past week, because there are too many of the coins in circulation.

The Scion Asset Management boss shared Coinbase’s description of the meme token in a now-deleted tweet, highlighting that its supply exceeds a quadrillion coins.

“Just saying, one quadrillion seconds is about 32 million years,” he tweeted. “One quadrillion days is 2.7 trillion years, or ALL of TIME, from the beginning of the universe, multiplied by 71,000. In other words, pointless.”

Burry’s tweet suggests he doesn’t view shiba inu as a compelling investment because the vast amount of coins in existence limits its possible price appreciation.

The hedge fund manager has been ringing the alarm on crypto this year. He described bitcoin as a “speculative bubble” fueled by huge amounts of leverage.

In addition, Burry questioned its long-term prospects, given the threat of government intervention. He also ridiculed dogecoin’s surge to a record-high price, labeling it “a doge’s breakfast.”

Moreover, Burry has compared the hype around bitcoin, meme stocks, and other popular assets to previous bubbles in housing and internet companies. He warned they’ve been “driven by speculative fervor to insane heights from which the fall will be dramatic and painful.”

Burry is best known for his lucrative bet against the mid-2000s housing bubble, which was immortalized in the book and movie “The Big Short.”

He also inadvertently paved the way for the meme-stock boom this year by investing in GameStop in 2019, and his latest portfolio update showed he was betting against Elon Musk’s Tesla and Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest.

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Warren Buffett wrote to Congress in 1982 to voice his concerns about futures trading – and many of his fears have come true

warren buffett
Warren Buffett.

  • Warren Buffett has warned against speculating on options, and accused Robinhood of encouraging it.
  • The investor expressed similar concerns about futures trading in a letter to Congress in 1982.
  • Buffett predicted mass gambling, heavy losses for investors, and damage to the stock market’s image.
  • See more stories on Insider’s business page.

Warren Buffett has warned people against speculating on options and accused Robinhood of encouraging users to gamble on them instead of investing for the long term. The billionaire investor and Berkshire Hathaway CEO predicted derivatives would lead to risky trading and reckless brokers nearly 40 years ago.

Buffett penned a letter to John Dingell, the late Democratic politician who served in the House of Representatives for nearly 60 years, in 1982. The investor’s missive resurfaced this week courtesy of 10-K Diver, a Twitter user who teaches finance and investing concepts on the platform.

The Berkshire chief wrote to Dingell to warn against introducing futures tied to the S&P 500 index. Buffett noted that investors could short the contracts to hedge against short-term volatility, but he cautioned that virtually everyone buying them would be gambling on stocks rising in the near term – not betting on the long-term performance of the underlying companies.

“The propensity to gamble is always increased by a large prize versus a small entry fee, no matter how poor the true odds may be,” Buffett said. “That’s why Las Vegas casinos advertise big jackpots and why state lotteries headline big prizes.”

“The unintelligent are seduced” by low prices and huge upside, he added, pointing to promoters of penny stocks and brokers who allow trading on minimal margin. Similarly, gamblers would use S&P 500 futures to bet on the short-term direction of the index while avoiding margin requirements, he said.

Buffett also explained why introducing futures would lead to rampant speculation, and result in a net loss for investors.

“Since the casino (the futures market and its supporting cast of brokers) gets paid a toll each time one of these transactions takes place, you can be sure that it will have a great interest in providing very large numbers of losers and winners,” he said.

Moreover, transaction costs would make futures trading a “negative sum game” for investors, he said. In contrast, investing in stocks is a “positive sum game” as the underlying companies grow and generate more money for their shareholders, he continued.

Buffett predicted that at least 95% of the activity involving futures would be “strictly gambling in nature.” People would use small sums of money to bet big on short-term stock movements, and brokerages would encourage them to trade more and more to maximize their cut, he said.

Brokers would do better over time if they didn’t let their customers fritter away their cash, but they’re too short-sighted to care, Buffett continued. “They often have been happiest when behavior was at its silliest,” he noted.

The Berkshire chief also warned that futures would tarnish the stock market’s image, as many people would get “burned” by them and blame their losses on stocks.

Finally, Buffett argued the country needed more people investing for the long term, not more gamblers egged on by brokers. Large volumes of future trading would be “overwhelmingly detrimental to the security-buying public” and markets as well, he added.

Buffett’s warnings about futures nearly four decades ago could easily be written about options today, as a new generation of traders continue to buy them based on memes and social media.

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Expert investor James Stack warned of rampant market speculation, predicted inflation, and blasted the Fed in a recent interview. Here are the 8 best quotes

James Stack
James Stack.

  • James Stack called out massive speculation in stocks, real estate, crypto, and other markets.
  • The investor said Federal Reserve policies are fueling reckless behavior on Wall Street.
  • Stack drew parallels between the current market boom and the dot-com and housing bubbles.
  • See more stories on Insider’s business page.

James Stack warned of rampant speculation across multiple markets, rang the inflation alarm, and urged investors to be careful in a recent MarketWatch interview.

Stack is the founder and CEO of Stack Financial Management, as well as the publisher of the InvesTech Research newsletter. He compared the Federal Reserve’s stimulus efforts to spiking Wall Street’s punchbowl, cautioned houses are more overpriced now than during the mid-2000s housing bubble, and likened the hype around SPACs and NFTs to the dot-com boom.

Stack’s firm takes a “safety-first” approach to investing, paying close attention to market risk and historical trends. It boasted a $1.2 billion stock portfolio at the end of March, which included a $97 million stake in Microsoft, and roughly $50 million stakes in each of Accenture, Cisco, and Walmart.

Here are Stack’s 8 best quotes from the interview, lightly edited and condensed for clarity:

1. “The Fed brought the punchbowl back to the party and, particularly when the pandemic hit, they decided to add more and more alcohol to it. There’s a lot of participants on Wall Street investing like they’re a little bit inebriated.” – describing the impact of the Federal Reserve’s expansionary policies since 2019.

2. “We have more of an upside disparity between housing prices and long-term inflation than we did in the housing bubble in 2005.” – Stack Financial’s housing barometer estimates US house prices are 43% above the long-term inflation trend, exceeding their 35% premium in 2005.

3. “Speculative psychology tends to spill over into multiple asset classes. Stocks are very, very expensive by most historical measures, but we’re also seeing it in real estate, we’ve seen it in cryptocurrencies – bitcoin shot up to $60,000 and now is struggling to stay above $30,000.”

4. “Our housing prices have gone ballistic. It seems that everyone’s quitting their job to become a realtor. It brings back all the memories of 2005-2006.” – describing the local housing market in Flathead Valley, Montana.

5. “Speculative excess is spilling over into all of the new IPOs, the SPACs. We’re raising money and we don’t know what we’re going to do with it. Then we’ve got the new NFTs, digital art – it’s so extreme, it’s almost nonsensical. But it’s not unusual. We saw it in the late 1990s, when companies could go public that had never made a penny. We’re starting to see a lot of that today in the meme stocks favored by new, young traders.”

6. “The bubble is invisible to those inside the bubble. Don’t go to someone investing in NFTs and try to tell them that they’re speculating in a bubble that could be almost worthless. You’re going to get in an argument that you can’t win except in the aftermath.”

7. “We are in one of the most overvalued markets in history and one of the most speculative-excess periods in history, so you don’t have to be fully invested today. If you’re going to invest in today’s market, don’t go out buying the SPACs, or the stocks that have infinite PE ratios, because they have yet to make earnings. I would put higher allocations into those sectors that are going to benefit from, or at least be resilient to, increasing inflation.”

8. “When the Fed does decide to start taking the punchbowl away, growth stocks are where the pains could be felt the greatest. Think ‘safety first,’ walk softly, and carry a comfortable cash reserve.”

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‘Big Short’ investor Michael Burry is back on Twitter – and warning of the biggest market bubble in history

Michael Burry big short
Michael Burry.

Michael Burry on Tuesday warned of the biggest market bubble in history, suggesting that his concerns about rampant speculation only grew during his 10-week hiatus from Twitter.

“People always ask me what is going on in the markets,” the investor tweeted. “It is simple. Greatest Speculative Bubble of All Time in All Things. By two orders of magnitude. #FlyingPigs360.”

The hashtag was likely a reference to a famous saying in investing: “Bulls make money, bears make money, but pigs get slaughtered.” Burry has repeatedly told investors that they’re being too greedy, speculating wildly, shouldering too much risk, and chasing unrealistic returns.

The Scion Asset Management chief deleted his Twitter profile in early April after sounding the alarm on Tesla stock – which he’s short – as well as GameStop, bitcoin, dogecoin, Robinhood, SPACs, inflation, and the broader stock market. He resumed tweeting on Monday.

Read more: These 5 stocks are prime candidates for an explosive AMC-style short squeeze right now, according to data from Fintel

Burry is best known for his billion-dollar bet against the US housing bubble in the mid-2000s, which was immortalized in the book and the movie “The Big Short.” He also helped lay the groundwork for GameStop’s comeback this year, as he bought a stake in the video-game retailer in 2019 and wrote several letters to its board.

The investor, who has complained many times about his warnings being ignored, has “Cassandra” as his display name on Twitter, a reference to the priestess from Greek mythology who was cursed by the gods to share true prophecies but never to be believed.

Burry’s latest tweet echoed his other cautions. For example, he’s compared the hype around bitcoin, electric vehicles, and meme stocks to the dot-com and housing bubbles and said earlier this year that the stock market was “dancing on a knife’s edge.”

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Warren Buffett slammed SPACs and Robinhood for encouraging gambling on stocks at Berkshire Hathaway’s annual meeting

warren buffett
Warren Buffett.

  • Warren Buffett criticized SPACs and Robinhood at Berkshire Hathaway’s annual meeting.
  • The investor said they encourage gambling and treating the stock market like a casino.
  • Charlie Munger, Buffett’s right-hand man, damned both trends as well.
  • See more stories on Insider’s business page.

Warren Buffett blasted special-purpose acquisition companies (SPACs) and the Robinhood trading app for encouraging gambling on stocks at Berkshire Hathaway’s annual meeting on Saturday.

The famed investor and Berkshire CEO said that SPACs, also known as blank-check companies, were taking advantage of amateur investors and making unrealistic promises. “You stick a famous name on it and you can sell almost anything,” he said.

Buffett’s right-hand man, Charlie Munger, said that the proliferation of SPACs was a “moral failing” to an extent.

“The easy money made by SPACs and derivatives and so on – you push that to excess, it causes horrible problems for the civilization.”

Buffett bemoaned the fact that Wall Street profits most when markets are rife with speculation.

“You have this incredible, huge asset to humanity but it really makes its money when people are doing stupid things,” he said.

Buffett said that a rising number of people are treating the stock market like a casino, and reiterated his analogy that day traders and speculators are like Cinderella at the ball.

“More people are entering the casino than are leaving everyday,” he said. “It creates its own reality for a while, and nobody tells you when the clock will strike 12 and it all turns to pumpkins and mice.”

Buffett also shared his thoughts on Robinhood, which many amateur investors and day traders have flocked to in recent months.

“It’s become a very significant part of the casino group that has joined to the stock market” over the past 12 to 18 months, Buffett said.

The investor doesn’t see buying and selling put and call options – leveraged bets on whether stocks and other assets will rise or fall in value over a period of time – as illegal or immoral. “But I don’t think you build a society around people doing it,” he said.

Munger went further in criticizing Robinhood and other trading apps for enabling speculation.

“It’s not just stupid, it’s shameful,” he said. “It’s deeply wrong.”

A Robinhood spokesperson provided the following statement to Insider:

“There is an old guard that doesn’t want average Americans to have a seat at the Wall Street table so they will resort to insults. The future is diverse, more educated, and propelled by engaging technologies that have the power to equalize.

“Adversaries of this future and of change are usually those who’ve enjoyed plentiful privileges in the past and who don’t want these privileges disrupted. Their criticisms are unfortunate but they prove why Robinhood’s mission is in fact critical.

“The new generation of investors aren’t a ‘casino group.’ They are tearing down old barriers to investing and taking control of their financial futures. Robinhood is on the right side of history.”

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Billionaire Mark Cuban highlights rampant speculation in crypto – but says that’s always the case with transformative technologies

Mark Cuban
Mark Cuban.

  • Mark Cuban acknowledged there’s rampant speculation in cryptocurrencies.
  • The billionaire investor said revolutionary technologies often generate hype.
  • Cuban defended the boom by pointing to the growing number of uses for crypto.
  • See more stories on Insider’s business page.

Mark Cuban recognizes lots of people are buying cryptocurrencies, not because they view them as fundamentally valuable, but because they expect others to buy them and drive their prices higher.

“Yes there is massive speculation,” the billionaire “Shark Tank” investor and Dallas Mavericks owner tweeted on Wednesday. However, he argued plenty of transformative technologies sparked feverish excitement as they took off.

“Every single one of the technologies has been dismissed by legacy institutions,” he continued. “Until they weren’t.”

Cuban made those comments in a Twitter thread defending crypto as a revolutionary innovation. He was responding to criticism that his aggressive promotion of dogecoin, a “meme coin” that was created as a joke, would result in buyers losing a bunch of money.

The technology entrepreneur – who became a billionaire by selling his internet-radio startup, Broadcast.com, to Yahoo in 1999 – has been one of dogecoin’s biggest promoters. He went on “The Ellen DeGeneres Show” this week to reiterate his view that the coin is a fun way to learn about crypto, and a better bet than a lottery ticket.

Cuban also highlighted the growing number of uses for crypto in his thread. He suggested non-fungible tokens (NFTs) for digital collectibles, smart contracts, and decentralized finance (DeFi) could fuel demand for digital currencies and underpin their prices in the future.

“If you look at crypto assets whether eth, doge, btc, mkr etc and only see something intangible for people to trade, you haven’t really looked,” he said, referring to ether, dogecoin, bitcoin, and dai. “If you see smart contracts and programming languages and think of new ways to disrupt industries then I’m saying there’s a chance.”

Unsurprisingly, dogecoin has its fair share of critics. Michael Burry of “The Big Short” fame dismissed it as a “doge’s breakfast” and one of several market bubbles, while billionaire investor and bitcoin bull Mike Novogratz warned against buying it and described it as a “dog.”

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Market prophet Gary Shilling predicts stocks and cryptocurrencies will crash, blasts the Fed, and warns against speculating in a new interview. Here are the 10 best quotes.

gary shilling
Gary Shilling.

  • Gary Shilling said stocks and cryptocurrencies are overheated and bound to crash.
  • The veteran forecaster blamed stimulus measures for ballooning asset prices.
  • Shilling dismissed inflation fears and advised investors to resist speculating.
  • See more stories on Insider’s business page.

Gary Shilling warned of rampant speculation in stocks and cryptocurrencies, and predicted a painful end for those involved, in a RealVision interview released this week.

The president of A. Gary Shilling & Co – who has called several previous crashes – also accused the Federal Reserve and Treasury of pumping up asset prices, dismissed fears of higher inflation, and urged investors to resist joining the buying frenzy.

Here are Shilling’s 10 best quotes, lightly edited and condensed for clarity:

1. “The consensus view is that the economy is going to open very rapidly, inflation is going to come roaring back, and interest rates are going through the roof. That is way overdone. We are in a low-inflation, if not deflationary era.” – highlighting that China and other countries produce more than they consume, fueling a global supply glut that depresses prices.

2. “The money pumped out by the Fed and all the fiscal stimulus hasn’t gone into spending, it’s gone into savings and asset inflation. It’s really responsible for things like dogecoin and bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, and all these speculations. It’s pushed stocks to unbelievable highs in relation to earnings, in relation to anything else, and made them very overpriced. Now, that doesn’t mean that I want to be short stocks right now, because with speculations, you never know how far they’re going to go. They leave the realm of any fundamentals, they’re off in the wild blue yonder.”

3. “There’s too much money floating around, and people don’t know what else to do with it. The Federal Reserve can’t be oblivious to what they’re doing. I know that they’re very honest public servants, but you’d almost think that these guys have a vested interest in pushing up stocks and fostering speculation. At some point, you would think that they’ve got to exercise more caution.”

4. “Until somebody blows the whistle, and that normally is the Fed, there’s no real end to this speculative climate. It just gets more and more extreme. It’s like the sock-puppet thing we saw back in the dot-com era. Absolutely no logic to the thing, but everybody’s having a wonderful time as long as it lasts.”

5. “If things start to unfold as we expect, and we get a big sell-off in equities that takes a lot of these speculations with it, we’ll have an opportunity to make some serious money.”

6. “When we got to the point that the only things that people wanted were gimmick cameras (Polaroid), motorhomes (Winnebago), and amusement parks (Disney), those are the outward flourishes, not the guts of the economy. People were rejecting the basic economy, saying there’s something wrong, or they’re into speculation. There are many similarities between then and now.” – comparing the current excitement around hot stocks with the hype that surrounded the “Nifty Fifty” stocks in the 1960s and 1970s.

7. “How could this end? One possibility is that we wake up tomorrow and find some major financial institution has bit the dust. We had this recently with Archegos, but we can have something like that on a larger scale that just touches off the collapse. You go back to the Tulipmania in Holland in the 1600s, the South Sea Bubble in England in the 1700s – they got to the point where there was a tiny trigger and wham, they all collapsed.”

8. “I’m not making any firm prediction as to when this thing is going to collapse. Speculations outrun any logic and that’s probably going to be true of this one. But at some point, boy, there’s going to be a lot of blood on the floor.”

9. “Back in the day, we all wore suits. I would buy two or three new suits a year, not because they went out of style, but because I wore them out. If that’s what commuting does to the suit, what’s it done to the guy inside the suit?” – predicting the pandemic will permanently alter work habits because many people have realized they dislike commuting.

10. “We had a wake-up call with the pandemic. It’s time to save money, to be cautious, and certainly investment-wise, to avoid speculation. It’s very hard when everybody is making money and you feel, ‘Oh, am I missing out? There’s this garage mechanic, who is no longer fixing cars because he’s making so much money in GameStop. I’m a stupid idiot, why aren’t I involved?’ Well, there are times where you really have to just pluck up your courage and say, ‘No, I don’t want to be involved.'”

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Cryptocurrencies are attractive as a ‘small part’ of any portfolio, George Ball says

bitcoin
  • CEO of investment firmSanders Morris Harris, George Ball, said cryptocurrencies are “attractive” as a part of any portfolio.
  • Ball said he sees cryptocurrencies as an effective hedge against currency debasement.
  • The CEO also argued stock speculators will make the shift to crypto markets if there is a pullback in equities.
  • Sign up here for our daily newsletter, 10 Things Before the Opening Bell.

George Ball told Yahoo Finance on Thursday that he believes cryptocurrencies are “attractive” as a “small part” of any portfolio.

Until recently, the chairman and CEO of investment firm Sanders Morris Harris had long been a critic of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

In a video call with Reuters last August, Ball told investors that it was time to buy bitcoin.

“I’ve never said this before, and I’ve always been a blockchain, cryptocurrency and bitcoin opponent. But if you look now, the government cannot stimulate markets forever, the liquidity flood will end,” Ball said.

Now, Ball is again making the case for investors to consider digital assets.

“With the cryptocurrencies, I think there is a fundamental hydra-headed shift that makes them attractive as a part, a small part, of almost any portfolio,” Ball said.

Ball told Yahoo Finance that he believes cryptocurrencies are now ideal targets for investment by wealthy individuals and institutional investors for two main reasons. First, Ball argued cryptocurrencies will be an effective hedge against the debasement of fiat currency.

“Longer-term if inflation is back, if we start to debase the currency badly, then the cryptocurrencies have a great deal of allure,” Ball said.

Secondly, Ball believes the increase in retail traders who speculate on stocks could lead to rising crypto prices. Ball said that the retail investor market has gone from “5% trading volume to 30%, to maybe 35%, of all volume today.”

The CEO said retail stock speculators will move to cryptocurrencies if they begin to face losses in the equity market.

“So if the investors are losing money in common stocks, but still want to speculate, then the cryptocurrencies I think will be the logical and likely next focus of their combined, individually small, but combined very large dollars,” the CEO said. 

Ball’s bullish view of cryptocurrencies comes amid a historic run for bitcoin, which hit record highs of over $58,000 per coin in February buoyed by institutional investment and interest from Tesla, MicroStrategy, and Square, among others.

And with high-flying tech stocks struggling, Ball’s prediction of a shift from stock speculation to crypto speculation may prove prescient.

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Cryptocurrencies are attractive as a ‘small part’ of any portfolio, former Prudential Financial chief says

bitcoin
  • Former Prudential Financial CEO and current CEO of Sanders Morris Harris, George Ball, said cryptocurrencies are “attractive” as a part of any portfolio.
  • Ball said he sees cryptocurrencies as an effective hedge against currency debasement.
  • The CEO also argued stock speculators will make the shift to crypto markets if there is a pullback in equities.
  • Sign up here for our daily newsletter, 10 Things Before the Opening Bell.

Former Prudential Financial CEO George Ball told Yahoo Finance on Thursday that he believes cryptocurrencies are “attractive” as a “small part” of any portfolio.

Until recently, the chairman and CEO of investment firm Sanders Morris Harris had long been a critic of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

In a video call with Reuters last August, Ball told investors that it was time to buy bitcoin.

“I’ve never said this before, and I’ve always been a blockchain, cryptocurrency and bitcoin opponent. But if you look now, the government cannot stimulate markets forever, the liquidity flood will end,” Ball said.

Now, Ball is again making the case for investors to consider digital assets.

“With the cryptocurrencies, I think there is a fundamental hydra-headed shift that makes them attractive as a part, a small part, of almost any portfolio,” Ball said.

Ball told Yahoo Finance that he believes cryptocurrencies are now ideal targets for investment by wealthy individuals and institutional investors for two main reasons. First, Ball argued cryptocurrencies will be an effective hedge against the debasement of fiat currency.

“Longer-term if inflation is back, if we start to debase the currency badly, then the cryptocurrencies have a great deal of allure,” Ball said.

Secondly, Ball believes the increase in retail traders who speculate on stocks could lead to rising crypto prices. Ball said that the retail investor market has gone from “5% trading volume to 30%, to maybe 35%, of all volume today.”

The former Prudential Financial CEO said retail stock speculators will move to cryptocurrencies if they begin to face losses in the equity market.

“So if the investors are losing money in common stocks, but still want to speculate, then the cryptocurrencies I think will be the logical and likely next focus of their combined, individually small, but combined very large dollars,” the CEO said. 

Ball’s bullish view of cryptocurrencies comes amid a historic run for bitcoin, which hit record highs of over $58,000 per coin in February buoyed by institutional investment and interest from Tesla, MicroStrategy, and Square, among others.

And with high-flying tech stocks struggling, Ball’s prediction of a shift from stock speculation to crypto speculation may prove prescient.

Read the original article on Business Insider