2 big reasons why the market is poised for a massive rally this week, according to Fundstrat’s Tom Lee

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A potential “face rip” rally will be driven by the last trading day of March, Tom Lee said.

  • An explosive rally in the stock market could transpire over the next two days, according to Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.
  • Window dressing on the last day of the month by fund managers favors buying pressure in some of the most popular stocks, Lee said.
  • And the start of April on Thursday will likely be marked by inflows into equities as one of the strongest months of the year for the stock market begins.
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The stock market is poised for a massive rally over the next two days as window dressing and strong seasonality begins to kick in, according to a Tuesday note from Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.

The potential “face rip” rally will first be driven by the last trading day of the month on Wednesday, in which fund managers participate in “window dressing,” Lee said. The practice of window dressing occurs when funds sell their losing stocks and buy the winning stocks to improve the image of their quarter-end holdings.

And on Thursday, strong seasonality should kick in as it’s the first trading day of April. Stocks typically see inflows on the first trading day of the month, according to Lee, and systematic funds want to be long stocks in April because it is on average one of the strongest months of the year for markets.

According to LPL Financial’s Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick, gains for stocks in April have been consistent, as “stocks have closed higher in April an incredible 14 out of the past 15 years.”

“We are literally facing a turning point, due to the above named factors, and add to the performance anxiety created by the past few weeks, and it is a set-up for a big chase higher,” Lee explained.

That performance anxiety refers to the $20 billion liquidation of Archegos Capital and the subsequent volatility that roiled a handful of stocks. Investors braced for more pain related to the unwinding of Bill Hwang’s family office, but the market has since shrugged off the event and investors that expected more volatility are likely ready to step in and buy stocks.

“I think this chase starts Wednesday [morning],” Lee concluded.

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Tech stocks’ market leadership may be over and investors aren’t ‘bullish enough about the reopening’, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee

Tom Lee
Thomas Lee Managing Director and Head of Research at Fundstrat

  • Fundstrat’s Tom Lee says tech stock’s market leadership is fading as energy, financials, and cyclicals takeover.
  • The Head of Research at Fundstrat argued investors aren’t “bullish enough about the reopening.”
  • Lee sees the reopening of the US economy post-pandemic as akin to a “post-war reconstruction period with government stimulus.”
  • Sign up here for our daily newsletter, 10 Things Before the Opening Bell.

Tech stocks’ market leadership may be fading and investors aren’t “bullish enough about the reopening,” according to Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.

Lee made an appearance on CNBC’s “Fast Money” on Wednesday. In the interview, he said he sees tech stocks’ market leadership fading as the post-pandemic reopening gets underway.

“I think tech’s leadership, which was so astounding for the past decade, I think we’re seeing a new leadership emerge,” Lee said.

The managing partner and head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors argued energy, financials, and cyclicals are leading the way now. And according to Lee, that means “a vigorous economic recovery is underway.”

Lee argued that the leadership of cyclicals will hurt tech and growth focused stocks going forward as well.

“These cyclicals could turn into growth stocks which means traditional growth stocks aren’t as shiny and interesting,” he said.

Lee also expects a faster reopening than other observers, arguing “people aren’t bullish enough about the reopening,” although he noted that “nobody can say COVID has been vanquished.”

Lee said although his reopening bullishness might be looked at as a “contrarian view” he sees the current era as a type of “post-war reconstruction period with government stimulus.”

He added that is “extremely boomy for real investment spending which is the biggest multiplier to GDP.”

Lee isn’t alone in the crowded reopening trade, but his somewhat bearish view on tech stocks is a shift from the norm. Lee has been a fan of tech stocks, and in particular Big Tech, for some time.

The head of research at Fundstrat even called big tech companies “unkillable businesses” in an interview in June of last year. For now though, Lee recommends avoiding the names.

His view isn’t shared by all, though. 

Analyst Dan Ives from Wedbush Securities said in a note to clients on Wednesday that he believes “tech stocks have another 25%+ upward move in the cards over the coming year led by FAANG, cloud, and cybersecurity names despite this risk-off moment on the Street.”

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