Bitcoin’s momentum will slow for months if it’s unable to quickly climb back above the crucial $60,000 level – and 2 main hurdles stand in its way, JPMorgan says

Bitcoin Bubble
  • A decay in momentum could represent a big problem for bitcoin, JPMorgan said in a Tuesday note.
  • A steep liquidation in bitcoin futures contracts has transpired over recent days, suggesting future weakness in the cryptocurrency.
  • “The challenge for bitcoin momentum in the current conjecture is to break above $60,000,” JPMorgan said.
  • Sign up here for our daily newsletter, 10 Things Before the Opening Bell.

A decline in momentum could set bitcoin up for weakness going forward, according to a Tuesday note from JPMorgan.

Over the past few days, bitcoin futures contracts have faced a steep liquidation, which in the past has occurred near big round price levels. Certain thresholds like $20,000 in November, $30,000 in mid-January, and $50,000 in mid-February were all met with a brief decay in momentum.

According to the bank, it’s likely that momentum traders are behind the buildup and decline of long bitcoin futures in recent week.

“Each previous episode presented a challenge for bitcoin momentum to break out above the certain price thresholds,” JPMorgan said.

Now, that price threshold is the $60,000 level. If bitcoin fails to break out above the $60,000 level, momentum signals “will naturally decay from here for several months, given their still elevated level,” JPMorgan said.

Bitcoin currently trades near $55,500 after topping out around $64,000 last week amid the Coinbase direct listing frenzy.

The recent decline in bitcoin has investors watching key technical levels, including the 50-day moving average, which would signal further downside to $42,000 if that level doesn’t hold as support, according to one technical analyst.

Read more: A 29-year-old self-made billionaire breaks down how he achieved daily returns of 10% on million-dollar crypto trades, and shares how to find the best opportunities

JPMorgan is doubtful that bitcoin will be able to break above the key $60,000 level amid a decline in momentum for two reasons.

“First, the decay in our bitcoin momentum signals seems more advanced, reminiscent of the second half of 2019, and thus more difficult to reverse than in the previous three episodes. Second, the flow into bitcoin funds appears weak, raising concerns about the strength of the overall bitcoin flow picture at the moment,” JPMorgan concluded.

bitcoin chaa.JPG
Read the original article on Business Insider

Bitcoin’s path to $100,000 is less important than its potential impact on the corporate world over the next decade, Wedbush says

2021 03 13T111735Z_1_LYNXMPEH2C07M_RTROPTP_4_CRYPTO CURRENCY BITCOIN TREASURY.JPG
  • Dan Ives of Wedbush said bitcoin’s effect on the corporate world is more important than its price.
  • The analyst argued moves into blockchain tech and cryptocurrencies may surge over the coming years.
  • “Bitcoin mania is not a fad…but rather the start of a new age on the digital currency front.”
  • Sign up here for our daily newsletter, 10 Things Before the Opening Bell.

Bitcoin’s path to $100,000 per coin is less important than its potential impact on the corporate world over the next decade, according to Wedbush.

In a note to clients on Thursday, Wedbush’s Dan Ives said that the story around bitcoin is much larger than its “potential path/timeline to $100,000.”

The analyst argued the important theme when it comes to cryptocurrencies is “the potential ramifications that crypto, blockchain, and Bitcoin could have across the technology and corporate world for the next decade.”

Ives said moves into blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies could surge over the coming years after companies like Tesla, IBM, Visa, Square, Mastercard, and more entered the fray recently.

There’s a “growing shift for companies to accept this digital currency as a form of payment,” according to the analyst.

Ives added that he still believes “less than 5% of public companies” will invest in bitcoin over the next 12-18 months but said that number could move “markedly higher” as more regulation and acceptance of the currency takes hold.

“Bitcoin mania is not a fad in our opinion, but rather the start of a new age on the digital currency front,” Ives wrote.

Although Ives was one of the first to the party, his comments about cryptocurrencies and their regulation are becoming more in sync with other Street commentators and even CEOs as cryptocurrencies and blockchain technologies continue to develop.

David Solomon, the CEO of Goldman Sachs, said his bank is looking into ways to support clients’ desire to own cryptocurrencies and other digital assets in a CNBC “Squawk Box” interview on Tuesday.

The CEO added that he believes there will be a “big evolution” in the way the US government regulates digital assets in the coming years.

Ives and his team also highlighted the potential of using blockchain technology for decentralized storage in their note to clients on Thursday.

The analyst said blockchain technology can help increase the overall speed and lower the price of digital storage moving forward. He noted, “there are a number of business models attacking this new market opportunity with privately-held Filecoin one of the more impressive strategies we have seen in the market.”

As far as Wedbush is concerned, Bitcoin isn’t going away anytime soon, rather it’s set to become “mainstream” and the effects on Wall Street and the corporate world will be huge.

Coinbase’s 840% revenue jump in the first quarter may be the perfect example of what Ives is talking about.

Coinbase posted $1.8 billion in revenue in its first-quarter report. That means the crypto exchange pulled in over $120 million more than Intercontinental Exchange, the company that owns the New York Stock Exchange, did in its most recent earnings report.

Read the original article on Business Insider

Canada approves first bitcoin ETF, raising hopes that the US SEC will soon follow

Bitcoin
Bitcoin.


Canada’s financial regulator approved the first publicly traded bitcoin ETF in North America, according to records published Thursday.

The Purpose Bitcoin ETF will seek to replicate the performance of the price of bitcoin, minus the ETF’s fees and expenses, according to a fact sheet posted by Canada-based asset manager Purpose Investments. It will trade on the Toronto stock exchange under the ticket “BTCC.” 

“The Fund has been created to buy and hold substantially all of its assets in long-term holdings of Bitcoin and seeks to provide holders of ETF Units (“Unitholders”) with the opportunity for long-term capital appreciation,” the company prospectus reads.

Cidel Trust Company will be the custodian of the ETF while Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss’ Gemini Trust Company will be the sub-custodian. Ernst and Young will be the auditor of the ETF.

The ETF announcement raises hopes that the US Securities and Exchange commission could be one step closer to approving a US bitcoin ETF. Several firms have filed and failed to gain approval for a bitcoin ETF in the past, with the SEC typically citing security concerns.

“It’s another step towards an ETF being authorized in the US,” Sui Chung, CEO of CF Benchmarks told Insider.

While the Canadian bitcoin ETF is a  “significant”  move forward that demonstrates how regulators in North America have gotten more familiar with the crypto landscape, it’s unclear how quickly the US will follow suit, especially given the differences between Canadian and US financial regulations, Chung added.

Despite pushback from the SEC, demand for bitcoin-based investments has soared during bitcoin’s 2021 rally. The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust that follows bitcoin has gained 272% in the last twelve months. It’s similar to an ETF but it’s physically backed by bitcoin.

Read more: One of Wall Street’s most popular self-defense strategies failed during the coronavirus meltdown. Ex-Bridgewater advisor Damien Bisserier was among the few who made it work, and he told us how he did it.

Read the original article on Business Insider

Anthony Scaramucci’s SkyBridge hedge fund just invested $25 million in a bitcoin fund as it sees an ‘avalanche of institutional investors’ buying crypto in 2021

Anthony Scaramucci
  • Anthony Scaramucci’s SkyBridge Capital just launched a bitcoin fund and invested $25 million of capital. It will go live to outside investors in 2021.
  • After bitcoin’s 200% rally this year, investors may be hesitant to buy bitcoin at current levels. But Scaramucci told CNBC the coin is in its “early innings,” and he wants to get in before the price soars even higher. 
  • “We could be at the precursor of an avalanche of institutional investors heading in,” Scaramucci said on Tuesday.
  • Visit Business Insider’s homepage for more stories.

The latest institutional investor to dive into bitcoin is SkyBridge capital, Anthony Scaramucci’s hedge fund. The $9.3 billion firm filed an SEC form D on Monday to launch the “SkyBridge Bitcoin Fund L.P.”

Scaramucci told CNBC that the fund started trading on Tuesday with $25 million of SkyBridge’s funding, and will go live to outside investors who can invest a minimum of $50,000 on January 4.

After bitcoin’s 200% rally this year, investors may be hesitant to buy the cryptocurrency right now in fear that a post-rally pullback is on the way. But Scaramucci said bitcoin is in its “early innings,” and he wants to get in before the price soars even higher.

“We could be at the precursor of an avalanche of institutional investors heading in,” Scaramucci said in a Tuesday CNBC interview. He added there may be a large swath of investors buying bitcoin in the first quarter of 2021 because they didn’t want to put it on their balance sheets in 2020.

Read more: The CIO of a new crypto fund that has returned 220% to investors this year explains why bitcoin topped $20,000 for the first time ever this week – and shares another digital currency set to become the ‘asset of the year’ in 2021

The SkyBridge Capital founder also said bitcoin will be a “very strong asset class” over the next decade given the monetary supply and current central banking coordination. 

SkyBridge joins a growing group of institutional players that are acknowledging bitcoin’s legitimacy as a store of value. Last month, Guggenheim filed to reserve the right for 10% of its $5.3 billion Macro Opportunities Fund to invest in the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust.

Other firms like MassMutual have invested in the cryptocurrency as well. Meanwhile, billionaire investors such as Stanley Druckenmiller and Paul Tudor Jones have  publicly discussed their bitcoin purchases.

Read more: BANK OF AMERICA: Buy these 16 medtech stocks with strong fundamentals that are set to soar post-pandemic

Read the original article on Business Insider