Are the Fed and the markets on parallel tracks?

There is still a veil of uncertainty on the next interest rate move in the US and the timing of it. It is interesting to see that the ten-year treasury which was just a stone’s throw away from the 2% mark has slumped to 1.45%/ Every time it rises to 1.50%, some invisible factor pulls it down to 1.45% mark again. That could mean there is still more time before the Fed policy starts getting reversed.